If Mitt Romney is the Republican presidential nominee in 2012, it will be because of Ron Paul. Consider:
1) If Ron Paul wasn’t running, those votes would be going for anyone but Mitt Romney. Paul’s success eats into Romney’s opponents.
2) Ron Paul’s substantial but not-substantial-enough following will continue putting him in second or third place, distancing Romney, the front runner, from all the other competitors. He creates a barrier between Romney and everyone else by making them look small.
A democracy is funny when ideological opposites help each other achieve power. A new poll puts Jon Huntsman at 17% in NH. Ron Paul is at 16%. Mitt Romney is 40% and everyone else is small. This echoes Iowa, where Ron Paul got second, Santorum tied Romney for first, and everyone else was small. If Mitt is going to be defeated, that person in second place at least needs to be the same person every time, but if they are not, and Ron Paul keeps the rest of the field at a distance….”hello, President Romney.”
(However, the economy just added 200,000 jobs and we are now at 8.5% unemployment. If the economy continues to improve, Obama will likely win. Maybe that is why Huckabee, Chris Christie, and Marco Rubio sat out this round out.)
I miss posting more! I love it and all the comments from last time. It really is a great way for me to stay engaged with so many friends and family (and strangers, which is cool) all over the world. Thanks for staying in touch.